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2009

Resilient Energy Futures for NHS

Abstract

This project delivers an evidence-based assessment of resilient energy futures for NHS as the health service transitions toward its Net Zero target. The work combines national-level analysis with site-specific audits to develop replicable methodology for assessing healthcare estates provide NHS Boards and SGN with clear, prioritised roadmaps for maintaining clinical resilience while reducing carbon emissions.

Scottish NHS sites are used as a case studies as it operates 14 territorial Health Boards with complex estates that currently depend on gas for heating, hot water, and essential clinical services. The project addresses a critical planning challenge faced by all gas networks: healthcare estates currently depend on gas for heating, hot water, and essential clinical services, as electrification and alternative heating solutions are deployed unevenly, there is significant uncertainty around how quickly gas demand will decline, where it will remain critical, and how network resilience can be maintained during the transition. Working with Energy Systems Catapult, Jacobs, and Aiming for Zero, the project will deliver GIS mapping of priority sites, site-level audits, techno-economic modelling, and Board-specific implementation roadmaps, providing SGN, NHS Scotland and other networks with the evidence base required for coordinated, cost-effective decarbonisation planning.

This project generates valuable learning:

  1. Coordinated Decarbonisation Planning: Demonstrates how network operators and institutional customers can collaborate on transition planning, creating a model for proactive stakeholder engagement.
  2. NHS Estate Decarbonisation: Adds network resilience considerations to NHS Net Zero strategies.
  3. Multi-Criteria Prioritisation: Develops and tests prioritisation framework balancing carbon impact, cost-effectiveness, clinical criticality, and network planning needs.
  4. Data Integration and GIS Mapping: Demonstrates how estate data, energy consumption, network mapping, and resilience indicators combine into decision-ready formats.
  5. Scenario-Based Demand Forecasting: Tests approaches for modelling future gas demand under uncertainty, particularly where policy targets create clear direction but implementation pathways remain uncertain.

file format pdf download NIA2_SGN0101_NIA_Project_Eligibility_Assessment_2026-02-02.pdf
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2025-01-01
2026-02-13
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