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2009

Predictive Model for Flood Risk Management

Abstract

This project will develop and evaluate a predictive flood monitoring system for Above Ground Installations (AGIs) and pipeline assets using real-time sensor data and 48-hour surface water forecasting. The system will be deployed at four locations identified through a nationwide flood risk survey. The trial will assess the system’s accuracy, responsiveness, and operational value across diverse environments. The project supports climate adaptation, regulatory compliance, and asset resilience by enabling early warning and proactive intervention. It aligns with RIIO-2 NIA objectives by reducing flood-related disruption, enhancing safety, and informing future investment decisions. The project will conclude with a technical report and recommendations for wider rollout under RIIO-3.

This project will generate new learning in the following areas:

  • Flood Risk Prioritisation: Insights from the nationwide survey will inform future investment planning and validate or challenge existing assessments (e.g. 2008 and 2016 studies).
  • Technology Performance: Evaluation of forecast accuracy, sensor responsiveness, and operational usability across four distinct environments.
  • Integration Feasibility: Lessons on how predictive monitoring can align with existing workflows and systems, including potential for API-based integration.
  • Climate Adaptation Strategy: Evidence to support the inclusion of predictive monitoring in future engineering standards and resilience planning.

Learning will be disseminated through a final technical report, a governance presentation pack, and publication on the ENA Smarter Networks Portal. Internal briefings will also be held with engineering, innovation, and climate risk teams.

file format pdf download NIA_NGT0278_Predictive_Model_for_Flood_Risk_Management.pdf
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2025-08-01
2025-09-18
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